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  Young NFL teams that win their last 2-3 games to make the playoffs are often good picks to cover the spread. They generally play fearlessly. This is especially effective when the first seed plays the last seed.

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  NCAA handicapping must include value analysis toward rivalries and match up histories. Sub-par teams will often "play over their heads" vs. certain opponents then immediately come back to earth in their next game and either fail to cover the spread or even lose outright.

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  When NHL favorites win, it's by 2 or more goals less than 50% of the time. NHL Puck Line DOGS can represent value, even when laying the juice. Remember, when an NHL game goes to OT, the favorite can only win by 1 goal!

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  Inclement weather will generally exaggerate the strengths and weaknesses of each team rather than diminish them. The clear exception to this rule is strong winds which will negate any passing attack and putting a premium on the running game.

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  Remember, the NFL is all about parity. Of the 32 teams in the league, oddsmakers have set team season wins of 7-9 on 23 of them (72%). There are only 3 really good teams and 3 really bad teams predicted (18%). Look for under-valued DOGS on the Money Line.

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